The conflict between Israel and Hamas has the potential to impact oil supply and prices, although the extent of the impact can vary depending on several factors. Here are some ways in which the Israel-Hamas conflict could affect oil:
Geopolitical Tensions: The Middle East is a major oil-producing region, and any conflict in the area can create geopolitical tensions that may affect oil prices. Investors often react to uncertainties in the region by driving up oil prices due to concerns about potential disruptions in oil supply.
Suez Canal Disruption: The Suez Canal, a key waterway for oil transportation, is in proximity to the region. If the conflict escalates and leads to disruptions in the operation of the canal, it could impact the transportation of oil, potentially causing delays and affecting global oil supply.
Market Sentiment: Oil prices can also be influenced by market sentiment and speculation. If the conflict raises concerns about broader regional stability or triggers fears of a larger military confrontation, it may lead to increased oil prices as a result of market uncertainty.
It’s important to note that the impact on oil supply is contingent on the scale and duration of the conflict, as well as how it evolves over time. Additionally, other global factors, such as demand trends and production levels from other major oil-producing countries, also play a role in determining the overall impact on oil markets.