Trump makes gains but Biden still leads in battlegrounds

Washington: President Donald Trump gained on his Democratic challenger Joe Biden in national polling averages, and in nine of 12 contested states. But Biden still holds a sizable lead in the national polls and is still ahead of Trump in 10 of the 12 states that could decide the election.

Biden’s average lead is only 3 percentage points or more in five of the swing states, but those include the crucial states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that Trump flipped in 2016. And while Trump grew his modest lead in Ohio and cut Biden’s leads in Arizona, Florida and Georgia further down to size, he also lost ground in Texas and Iowa.

The USA TODAY average of averages is based on the polling averages calculated by RealClearPolitics (RCP) and FiveThirtyEight.

National average  

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 51.4%, Trump 42.9% (Biden +8.6)

Last week: Biden 51.9%, Trump 42.1% (Biden +9.8)

At this point in 2016: Clinton +5.6

Swing state averages 

Pennsylvania: Biden +5.4

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.0%, Trump 44.6%

Last week: Biden 50.0%, Trump 44.5% (Biden +5.5)

Net change: Trump +0.1

Wisconsin: Biden +5.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.1%, Trump 44.4%

Last week: Biden 50.5%, Trump 43.8% (Biden +6.7)

Arizona: Biden +2.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.8%, Trump 46.1%

Last week:  Biden 49.3%, Trump 45.5% (Biden +3.8)

Florida: Biden +1.9

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.9%, Trump 47.0%

Last week: Biden 48.7%, Trump 46.0% (Biden +2.7)

Net change: Trump +0.8

Michigan: Biden +7.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.5%, Trump 42.7%

Last week: Biden 50.4%, Trump 42.9% (Biden +7.5)

Georgia: Biden +0.5

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.6%, Trump 47.1%

Last week: Biden 47.9%, Trump 46.6% (Biden +1.3)

Iowa: Biden +1.1

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.4%, Trump 46.3%

Last week: Biden 47.8%, Trump 47.0%(Biden +0.8)

Minnesota: Biden +7.1

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.4%, Trump 42.3%

Last week: Biden 49.0%, Trump 41.2% (Biden +7.8)

Nevada: Biden +5.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.6%, Trump 43.8%

Last week:  Biden 49.3%, Trump 43.4% (Biden +5.9)

North Carolina: Biden +1.9

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.1%, Trump 47.2%

Last week: Biden 48.8%, Trump 45.9% (Biden +2.9)

Ohio: Trump +1.0

USA TODAY average of averages: Trump 47.4%, Biden 46.4%

Last week: Trump 46.7%, Biden 46.4% (Trump +0.3)

Image courtesy of (Photo courtesy ABC News)

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